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<br>Indonesia plans to execute B40 in January<br> |
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<br>In that case, rates might rally 10%-15% in Jan-March, Mielke says<br> |
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<br>B40 will [require additional](https://www.zonebourse.com/cours/action/MISSION-NEWENERGY-LIMITED-8557641/) 3 mln loads feedstock, GAPKI says<br> |
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<br>Malaysia palm oil standard at greatest because mid-2022<br> |
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<br>India might tax hike amidst inflation, Mistry says<br> |
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<br>(Adds analyst comments, updates Malaysia's palm oil benchmark rate)<br> |
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<br>By Bernadette Christina<br> |
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<br>NUSA DUA, Indonesia, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Indonesia's palm oil output is [forecast](https://www.abnnewswire.net/companies/en/31347/%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%B4%E0%B8%A9%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%97-Mission-NewEnergy-%E0%B8%88%E0%B8%B3%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%94.html/4) to recuperate in 2025 after an anticipated drop this year, but prices are anticipated to stay elevated due to scheduled expansion of the nation's [biodiesel](https://www.energy-xprt.com/companies/mission-newenergy-limited-36048) mandate, [industry experts](https://www.bloomberg.com/profile/company/MNELF:US) stated.<br> |
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<br>The palm oil criteria cost in [Malaysia](https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/mission-newenergy) has risen more than 35% this year, lifted by slow output and Indonesia's plan to increase the necessary domestic [biodiesel](https://biodieselmagazine.com/articles/felda-global-buys-missions-kuantan-port-plant-for-11-5-million-9053) blend to 40% in January from 35% now in an effort to decrease fuel imports.<br> |
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<br>Palm oil output next year in leading manufacturer Indonesia is expected to recover by 1.5 million metric loads [compared](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1463471/000165495419013063/R31.htm) with an estimated drop of just over a million lots this year, Julian McGill, handling director at Glenauk Economics, told the Indonesia Palm Oil Conference on Friday.<br> |
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<br>Thomas Mielke, head of Hamburg-based research [study company](https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/159352/mission-newenergy-debt-free-focused-on-biofuel-joint-venture-60797.html) Oil World, said he expects Indonesia's palm oil production to increase by as much as 2 million lots next year after a 2.5 million ton drop in 2024.<br> |
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<br>While Indonesia's output is anticipated to improve, provide from elsewhere and of other [veggie oils](https://www.zoominfo.com/c/mission-newenergy/346542889) is seen tightening.<br> |
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<br>[Palm oil](https://www.businessnews.com.au/Company/Mission-NewEnergy) output in neighbouring Malaysia is [expected](https://www.bloomberg.com/profile/company/MNELF:US) to dip a little next year after increasing by an [approximated](https://www.proactiveinvestors.com.au/ASX:MBT/Mission-NewEnergy-Ltd) 1 million lots in 2024.<br> |
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<br>"We would need a recovery in palm in 2025 due to the fact that combined exports of soya, sunflower and rapeseed oils are decreasing," Mielke stated.<br> |
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<br>'FRIGHTENING' PRICE SURGE<br> |
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<br>The rate rise in palm oil in the previous 7 weeks has been "frightening" for buyers, Mielke stated, adding that it would rally by 10%-15% in January-March if Indonesia imposes the so-called B40 policy.<br> |
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<br>The [Indonesia Palm](https://www.zoominfo.com/c/mission-newenergy/346542889) Oil Association said extra feedstock of around 3 million lots will be needed for B40 application, deteriorating export supply.<br> |
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<br>The [existing palm](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1463471/000165495419013063/R31.htm) oil premium has actually already caused palm to lose [market share](https://www.intelligentinvestor.com.au/shares/asx-mbt/mission-newenergy-limited/share-price) against other oils, Mielke included.<br> |
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<br>[Malaysian palm](https://www.bloomberg.com/profile/company/MNELF:US) oil rates are seen trading at around $950 to $1,050 per metric lot in 2025, McGill of Glenauk estimated.<br> |
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<br>[Benchmark Malaysian](https://pitchbook.com/profiles/company/51278-86) palm oil touched 5,104 ringgit ($1,165.30) on Friday, the highest given that mid-2022.<br> |
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<br>"Sentiment today is red-hot and incredibly bullish, we have to beware," stated Dorab Mistry, [director](https://forest500.org/rankings/companies/mission-newenergy-limited) at Indian customer items company Godrej International.<br> |
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<br>He anticipated the Malaysian cost around 5,000 [ringgit](https://www.zoominfo.com/c/mission-newenergy/346542889) and above up until June 2025.<br> |
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<br>Mielke and Mistry advised Indonesia to<br> |
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<br>think about postponing<br> |
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<br>B40 execution on concern about its impact on food consumers.<br> |
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<br>Meanwhile, Mistry [anticipated](https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/159346/mission-newenergy-delivers-maiden-biodiesel-production-to-global-oil-major-24476.html) top palm oil importer India to withdraw its<br> |
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<br>import duty hike<br> |
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<br>enforced from September after elections in the state of Maharashtra in November. ($1 = 4.3800 ringgit) (Reporting by Bernadette Christina Munthe Writing by Fransiska Nangoy |
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